Análise dos fatores discriminantes do crescimento urbano dos municípios da região Sudoeste do Paraná no período 2000-2010

Abstract

Along the time the humanity has been going by a series of changes, among those changes, is the urbanization phenomenon, that happens some times in a more intense way, other times more slowly, impelled by a series of different factors. For this reason, the objective of this research is to analyze for which reasons some municipal districts of the Southwest area of Paraná presented urban growth, being more dynamic, and others had negative rates of population growth. Therefore, it is sought to determine the factors that differentiate the municipalities with growth from those with negative growth, based on socioeconomic characteristics, considering two distinct periods - 2000 and 2010. This analysis was made from the Discriminant Analysis, dividing the 42 municipalities of the (group 1), stable (group 2) and depressed (group 3). Eight variables were selected from secondary data obtained through IPARDES. The results of the research show that the discrimination between municipalities occurs due to population concentration (population density) and the degree of industrialization. Both factors can become attractive to newcomers who are seeking better living conditions, better job opportunities, increased income and education, that is, in search of a better quality of life.